2024 New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary
January 23, 2024
33 delegates (23 pledged and 10 unpledged) to the Democratic National Convention

The 2024 New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary will be held on January 23, 2024, as part of the Democratic Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election.

33 delegates to the Democratic National Convention (DNC) would be allocated to presidential candidates.[1] However, the DNC's rules would penalize this number of delegates for violating the party's primary calendar, as the DNC-approved calendar had placed the South Carolina primary first,[2] though New Hampshire has instead scheduled its primary first.[3]

Scheduling controversy

President Joe Biden sent a letter on December 1, 2022, to the "rule-making arm" of the Democratic National Committee (DNC), requesting that "diversity" should be emphasized in the 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries, upending New Hampshire's tradition of being the first primary state.[4] A December 2022 vote by the DNC Rules and Bylaws Committee the following day approved the change.[5]

On February 4, 2023, the DNC formally approved the new 2024 primary calendar, moving South Carolina to hold its race first on February 3, followed by Nevada and New Hampshire on February 6. One member of the Rules and Bylaws Committee who supported this new plan, Lee Saunders, further said it will give a better representation of the composition of the country.[6]

Members of the New Hampshire Democratic Party opposed the move, noted that moving their primary to comply with the new calendar would require changing New Hampshire state law mandating them to hold the first primary in the country.[7] This was unlikely to happen since the state's legislature is controlled by Republicans, who are "unwilling" to change it.[6] New Hampshire Republican governor Chris Sununu also criticized the DNC's plan as an "absolute joke ... It's just based on a personal preference of a candidate".[8]

The DNC originally gave New Hampshire until June to change their primary dates,[2] then extended this deadline to September. But Politico reported that "there was little reason to expect a friendly resolution",[9] since Republican New Hampshire Secretary of State David Scanlan has the sole power to set the state's presidential primary date, in accordance with the aforementioned New Hampshire law.[10] Scanlan announced the January 23 primary date on November 15.[11] It is unclear how the DNC will proceed since the party's convention rules would penalize New Hampshire's number of delegates for violating the DNC's primary calendar.[2]

Candidates

Incumbent President Joe Biden announced his bid for a second term on April 25, 2023.[12] However, Biden's team indicated that he would not appear on the New Hampshire primary ballot if the state defies the DNC's calendar and schedules its race before South Carolina's.[13] In October 2023, the manager for the Biden campaign, Julie Chávez Rodriguez, confirmed in a letter to the chair of the New Hampshire Democratic Party Raymond Buckley that Biden would not appear on the primary ballot in order to comply with the DNC's calendar.[14] Pro-Biden New Hampshire Democrats, including Kathy Sullivan (the former chairwoman of the state Democratic party) and former Representatives Paul Hodes and Carol Shea-Porter, launched a formal write-in campaign on October 30.[15]

Official candidates on the ballot

The following candidates have officially filed by the end of the filing deadline on October 27, 2023:[16]

Declined

Failed to make ballot

Endorsements

Joe Biden
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Dean Phillips
State representatives
Marianne Williamson
State representatives
Party officials

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Joe
Biden		 Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.		 Dean
Phillips		 Marianne
Williamson		 Other Undecided
University of New Hampshire Survey Center/CNN November 10–14, 2023 674 (LV) ± 3.5% 65% – 10% 9% 5% 10%
Emerson College/WHDH November 10–13, 2023 917 (RV) ± 3.3% 27%[lower-alpha 2] – 15% 10% 5% 44%
October 9, 2023 Kennedy withdraws from the primaries
University of New Hampshire/CNN September 14–18, 2023 801 (LV) ± 3.2% 78% 9% – 6% 3% 4%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Stacey
Abrams		 Joe
Biden		 Cory
Booker		 Pete
Buttigieg		 Hillary
Clinton		 Kamala
Harris		 Amy
Klobuchar		 Gavin
Newsom		 Alexandria
Ocasio-Cortez		 Bernie
Sanders		 Elizabeth
Warren		 Other Undecided
Saint Anselm College Mar 28–30, 2023 1,320 (RV) ± 4.1% – 34% – 18% 1% 4% – 4% – 11% – 29%[lower-alpha 3] –
co/efficient Jan 25–26, 2023 486 (LV) ± 4.45% – 37% – – – – – – – – – 46% 17%
– 25% – 16% – 5% – – 3% – – 15%[lower-alpha 4] 36%
University of New Hampshire Jan 19–23, 2023 346 (LV) ± 5.3% – 18% – 23% 0% 2% 5% 1% 6% 15% 18% 3% 4%
University of New Hampshire Jul 21–25, 2022 430 (LV) ± 4.7% 3% 16% 2% 17% 3% 6% 9% 10% 5% 8% 10% 6%[lower-alpha 5] 6%
University of New Hampshire Apr 16–20, 2021 787 (A) – – 64% – – – – – – – – – 18%[lower-alpha 6] 17%
Saint Anselm College Mar 4–6, 2021 418 (LV) – – – – – – 45% – – – – – 26%[lower-alpha 7] 30%

See also

Notes

  1. 1 2 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ↑ Biden was not initially prompted as an option.
  3. ↑ Michelle Obama with 14%; Other with 7%; Gretchen Whitmer with 4%; Andrew Yang and Marianne Williamson with 2%.
  4. ↑ Michelle Obama with 15%
  5. ↑ "Other" with 4%; Chris Murphy and Gretchen Whitmer with 1%; Jared Polis, J.B. Pritzker, and Gina Raimondo with 0%
  6. ↑ 18% do not want Biden run in the 2024 presidential election
  7. ↑ "If Joe Biden decides not to run for re-election, someone else" with 26%

References

  1. ↑ "New Hampshire Democratic Delegation 2024". The Green Papers. Retrieved April 29, 2023.
  2. 1 2 3 Vakil, Caroline (February 4, 2023). "DNC approves adjusted early presidential primary schedule". The Hill. Archived from the original on February 5, 2023. Retrieved February 5, 2023.
  3. ↑ Enstrom, Kirk (November 15, 2023). "Here's when the New Hampshire 2024 primary will take place". WMUR.
  4. ↑ Miller, Zeke; Kinnard, Meg; Weissert, Will (December 1, 2022). "AP sources: Biden tells Dems he wants SC as 1st primary vote". Associated Press. Retrieved October 30, 2023.
  5. ↑ "DNC Rules and Bylaws Committee Adopts Biden Calendar Proposal". Frontloading HQ. December 2, 2022. Retrieved October 30, 2023.
  6. 1 2 Chambers, Francesca (February 4, 2023). "Democrats approve 2024 primary calendar that demotes Iowa, boosts South Carolina". USA Today. Archived from the original on February 5, 2023. Retrieved October 30, 2023.
  7. ↑ Shepherd, Brittany (February 4, 2023). "Democrats approve new primary calendar for 2024". ABC News. Archived from the original on February 5, 2023. Retrieved October 30, 2023.
  8. ↑ O'Keefe, Ed; Novak, Analisa (February 3, 2023). "New Hampshire battles to retain first-in-the-nation presidential primary as DNC leaders meet to vote on possible changes". CBS News. Archived from the original on February 5, 2023. Retrieved February 5, 2023.
  9. ↑ Kashinsky, Lisa (June 16, 2023). "Democrats buy time in fight over New Hampshire primary". Politico. Retrieved October 27, 2023.
  10. ↑ Feely, Paul (July 14, 2023). "Potential January date for NH's presidential primary comes into focus". New Hampshire Union Leader. Yahoo!. Retrieved October 27, 2023.
  11. ↑ Barnett, Emma (November 15, 2023). "New Hampshire sets presidential primary date for Jan. 23, defying Biden's new primary order". NBC News. Retrieved November 16, 2023.
  12. ↑ Miller, Zeke (April 25, 2023). "Biden announces 2024 reelection bid: 'Let's finish this job'". Associated Press. Retrieved October 28, 2023.
  13. ↑ Thompson, Alex (June 15, 2023). "Biden could lose first two '24 contests to RFK Jr". Axios. Retrieved October 27, 2023.
  14. ↑ Schneider, Elena (October 24, 2023). "Biden won't appear on New Hampshire primary ballot". Politico. Retrieved October 24, 2023.
  15. ↑ Kashinsky, Lisa (October 30, 2023). "Democrats launch write-in campaign for Biden in N.H." Politico. Retrieved October 30, 2023.
  16. ↑ "Source: New Hampshire Secretary of State" (PDF).
  17. ↑ Bottari, Steve (October 30, 2023). "Effort launches to get New Hampshire Democrats to write in Biden's name on primary ballot". WMUR. Retrieved October 31, 2023.
  18. ↑ "State Ballot Law Commission upholds barring Cenk Uygur from NH Primary ballot". New Hampshire Public Radio. November 2, 2023. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
  19. 1 2 3 Kashinsky, Lisa (April 26, 2023). "N.H. Dems sort of back Biden". Politico.
  20. ↑ Graham, Steven (October 31, 2023). "Former Biden NH Co-Chair Backs Phillips in FITN Primary". NH Journal. Retrieved November 1, 2023.
  21. ↑ Gokee, Amanda (October 3, 2023). "Why Maria Perez was the latest N.H. lawmaker to leave the Democratic party". The Boston Globe. Retrieved October 4, 2023. Perez endorsed longshot candidate Marianne Williamson because she wanted a challenger to have the opportunity to be on the ballot.
  22. ↑ "New endorsements + Update from the road in NH!". Archive of Political Emails. July 5, 2023. Retrieved October 28, 2023.
  23. ↑ "Welcome to Volunteer Group". Marianne Williamson 2024. Archived from the original on October 29, 2023. Retrieved October 29, 2023.
  24. ↑ "Marianne Williamson Gathers New Hampshire Endorsements". Marianne Williamson 2024. March 13, 2023. Archived from the original on March 15, 2023. Retrieved March 31, 2023.
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