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The 2024 West Virginia gubernatorial election will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect the governor of West Virginia, concurrently with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Governor Jim Justice is term-limited and cannot seek re-election to a third consecutive term in office. Primary elections will take place on May 14, 2024.[1]
Background
A conservative rural southern state, West Virginia is considered extremely Republican at the federal and state levels; Republicans hold all statewide executive offices and supermajorities in both state legislative houses, and since 2015 Senator Joe Manchin has been the state's only congressional Democrat. In the 2020 presidential election, Donald Trump carried West Virginia by 38.93 percentage points.
Incumbent Governor Jim Justice was first elected in 2016 as a Democrat, defeating Bill Cole by 6.8 percentage points. Justice was re-elected in 2020 as a Republican, defeating Ben Salango by 33.3 percentage points.
With Jim Justice term-limited and unable to run for a third consecutive term as Governor, the Republican primary is expected to be competitive and crowded. Most analysts consider Republicans to be a heavy favorite, given the state's partisan lean and the margins from the previous election.[2]
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- Terri Bradshaw, farmer[3]
- Moore Capito, state delegate (2016–present), grandson of former governor Arch Moore, and son of U.S. Senator Shelley Moore Capito[3]
- Chris Miller, automobile dealer and son of U.S. Representative Carol Miller[4]
- Patrick Morrisey, West Virginia Attorney General (2013–present) and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2018[5]
- Mac Warner, West Virginia Secretary of State (2017–present)[6]
- Rashida Yost, preschool owner[3]
Withdrew
- J.B. McCuskey, West Virginia State Auditor (2017–present)[7] (running for attorney general)[8]
Declined
- Kent Leonhardt, West Virginia Commissioner of Agriculture (2017–present) (running for re-election)[9]
- Riley Moore, West Virginia State Treasurer (2021–present) and grandson of former governor Arch Moore (running for U.S. House)[10]
Endorsements
Moore Capito
- Federal politicians
- Shelley Moore Capito, U.S. Senator from West Virginia (2015–present) (candidate's mother)[11]
Patrick Morrisey
- Individuals
- David Bossie, president of Citizens United[12]
- Organizations
- Citizens United PVF[12]
- Club for Growth[13]
- Americans for Prosperity[14]
- West Virginia Coal Association[15]
- Veterans for America First[16]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Moore Capito |
J.B. McCuskey |
Chris Miller |
Patrick Morrisey |
Mac Warner |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| American Pulse Research & Polling (R)[upper-alpha 1] |
November 13–14, 2023 | 414 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 23% | – | 10% | 31% | 14% | – | 23% |
| CAMP[upper-alpha 2] | November 10–12, 2023 | 863 (LV) | ± 3.26% | 18% | – | 11% | 24% | 21% | 5% | 21% |
| Orion Strategies[upper-alpha 3] | June 17–20, 2023 | 651 (LV) | ± 6.0% | 30% | 3% | 5% | 31% | 9% | 5% | 17% |
| National Research Inc. | February 23–28, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 15% | 3% | 6% | 28% | 11% | 3%[lower-alpha 2] | 29% |
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- Steve Williams, mayor of Huntington (2013–present) and former state delegate (1986–1994)[17]
Declined
- Joe Manchin, U.S. Senator (2010–present) and former governor (2005–2010)[18]
- Ben Salango, Kanawha County commissioner and nominee for governor in 2020[19]
Other candidates
Constitution Party
Declared
- S. Marshall Wilson, former Republican state delegate (2017–2021) and write-in candidate for governor in 2020[20]
Libertarian Party
Declared
- Erika Kolenich, attorney and 2020 Libertarian gubernatorial candidate[21]
Mountain Party
Declared
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[23] | Solid R | July 21, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[24] | Solid R | July 14, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[25] | Safe R | July 13, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[26] | Safe R | July 12, 2023 |
Notes
- Partisan clients
References
- ↑ "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved August 6, 2023.
- ↑ "West Virginia GOP auditor announces 2024 run for governor". AP NEWS. February 28, 2023. Retrieved March 2, 2023.
- 1 2 3 McElhinny, Brad (November 29, 2022). "Moore Capito, whose name likely rings a bell, says he's running for West Virginia governor". WV MetroNews. Retrieved November 29, 2022.
- ↑ Adams, Steven. "Chris Miller, Son of Congresswoman Carol Miller, Announces 2024 Run for West Virginia Governor". www.theintelligencer.net. The Intelligencer and Wheeling News Register. Retrieved December 24, 2021.
- ↑ "AG Morrisey announces 2024 run for Governor". WDTV. April 4, 2023. Retrieved April 4, 2023.
- ↑ "W.Va. Secretary of State Mac Warner announces he will run for governor". WCHS-TV. January 10, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
- ↑ "W.Va. state auditor to run for governor". WSAZ. Associated Press. March 2023. Retrieved March 1, 2023.
- ↑ McElhinny, Brad (July 24, 2023). "McCuskey pivots to attorney general's race, and Weld and Stuart say they won't back down". West Virginia MetroNews. Retrieved July 24, 2023.
- ↑ "W.Va. Agriculture Commissioner Kent Leonhardt to seek third term".
Kent Leonhardt announced Wednesday he will seek a third term and will not run for governor.
- ↑ "Treasurer Riley Moore jumps into congressional race, another early political announcement". WV Metro News. November 21, 2022. Retrieved November 21, 2022.
- ↑ "Capito supports son's move to run for governor, says he will bring energy".
- 1 2 Weaver, Alexandra (May 31, 2023). "Citizens United president makes West Virginia governor endorsement". WBOY. Retrieved June 20, 2023.
- ↑ "Club for Growth PAC and Black Bear PAC Endorse Patrick Morrisey for Governor". April 5, 2023.
- ↑ "Americans for Prosperity Announces Endorsement of Patrick Morrisey for West Virginia Governor". americansforprosperity.org. July 19, 2023. Retrieved November 10, 2023.
- ↑ "WV Coal Association Endorses Slate of Pro-Coal Candidates for 2024 Election". www.wvcoal.com. Retrieved September 2, 2023.
- ↑ "Attorney General Patrick Morrisey Raises Over $1.1M Since Entering Race for West Virginia Governor". www.lootpress.com. July 8, 2023. Retrieved November 10, 2023.
- ↑ Staff, WSAZ News (September 4, 2023). "Huntington Mayor says he plans to file to run for Governor of W.Va". WSAZ. Retrieved September 4, 2023.
- ↑ Doherty, Erin (January 22, 2023). "Manchin on 2024 political ambitions: "Everything is on table"". Axios. Retrieved January 22, 2023.
He did rule out running for West Virginia governor in 2024.
- ↑ McElhinny, Brad (July 5, 2023). "Salango says he won't repeat bid for governor; Huntington Mayor Williams says he's closer to launch". West Virginia MetroNews. Retrieved July 5, 2023.
- ↑ Winger, Richard (September 5, 2023). "Leaders of the West Virginia Americans Coming Together Party Join the Constitution Party". Ballot Access News. Retrieved October 3, 2023.
- ↑ Weaver, Alexandra. "Libertarian Party Selects Candidate for West Virginia Governor". WBOY-TV. Retrieved December 2, 2023.
- ↑ Lawrence, Brandy (June 20, 2023). "Chase Linko-Looper announces candidacy for Governor". WOAY. Retrieved June 22, 2023.
- ↑ "2024 Governor Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved July 24, 2023.
- ↑ "Gubernatorial Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved July 24, 2023.
- ↑ "2024 Gubernatorial race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved July 24, 2023.
- ↑ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. July 22, 2023. Retrieved July 24, 2023.
External links
- Official campaign websites
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