2024 São Paulo municipal election
6 October 2024 (2024-10-06) (first round)
27 October 2024 (2024-10-27) (second round, if necessary)
Mayoral election
Opinion polls
Incumbent Mayor

Ricardo Nunes
MDB


Parliamentary election
PartyLeader Current seats
Municipal Chamber
PSDB João Jorge 8
PT Senival Moura 8
UNIÃO Milton Leite 7
PSOL Silvia Ferraro 6
MDB 5
Republicanos Sansão Pereira 4
PL Isac Félix 4
PODE Milton Ferreira 3
PSD Edir Sales 3
Avante Camilo Cristófaro 1
NOVO Cris Monteiro 1
PP Marcos Palumbo 1
PSB Eliseu Gabriel 1
PSC Rodolfo de Souza 1
PRD Paulo Frange 1
PV Roberto Tripoli 1
Solidarity Sidney Cruz 1

The 2024 São Paulo municipal election will take place in the city of São Paulo, Brazil on 6 October 2024. Voters will elect a mayor, vice mayor, and 55 city council members. The incumbent mayor, Ricardo Nunes of the Brazilian Democratic Movement (MDB), intends to run for reelection.[1]

Candidates

Pre-candidates

Brazilian Democratic Movement

Liberal Party

Brazilian Socialist Party

Free Brazil Movement (part of Brazil Union)

Socialism and Liberty Party

Withdrawn candidates

Outgoing Municipal Chamber

The result of the last municipal election and the current situation in the Municipal Chamber is given below:

Affiliation Members +/–
Elected[12] Current[13]
PSDB 8 8 Steady
PT 8 8 Steady
UNIÃO didn't exist 7 Increase7
PSOL 6 6 Steady
MDB 3 5 Increase2
Republicanos 4 5 Increase1
PODE 3 3 Steady
PSD 3 3 Steady
PL 2 2 Steady
Avante 0 1 Increase1
PRD didn't exist 1 Increase1
Solidarity 0 1 Increase1
PP 1 1 Steady
PSC 1 1 Steady
PV 1 1 Steady
NOVO 2 1 Decrease1
PSB 2 1 Decrease1
PSL 1 extinct party[lower-alpha 1] Decrease1
PTB 1 extinct party[lower-alpha 2] Decrease1
Patriota 3 extinct party[lower-alpha 2] Decrease3
DEM 6 extinct party[lower-alpha 1] Decrease6
Total 55

Opinion polls

2023

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted		 Sample
size		 Nunes
MDB		 Boulos
PSOL		 Generic Candidate
PL		 Amaral
PSB		 Kataguiri
UNIÃO		 Others Abst.
Undec.		 Lead
Paraná Pesquisas 21–24 September 1,066 29% 35% — 7.5% 5.3% 2.8%[lower-alpha 3] 20.4% 6%
20 September 2023 The party Solidariedade announce support to Nunes' reelection.[16]
Datafolha 29–30 August 1,092 24% 32% — 11% 8% 2%[lower-alpha 4] 23% 8%
5 August 2023 Workers' Party (PT) announce support to Boulos' candidacy.[17]
Instituto Gerp 10–17 July 800 6% 26% 18%[lower-alpha 5] 5% 2% 4%[lower-alpha 6] 39% 8%
28 June 2023 José Luiz Datena withdraw his pre-candidacy.[11]
5 June 2023 Ricardo Salles (PL) withdraw his pre-candidacy.[18]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted		 Sample
size		 Nunes
MDB		 Boulos
PSOL		 Datena
PDT		 Salles
PL		 Amaral
PSB		 Others Abst.
Undec.		 Lead
Paraná Pesquisas 30 Apr–4 May 1,208 17.8% 31.5% — 10.9% 7.1% 5.4%[lower-alpha 7] 27.3% 13.7%
13.6%[lower-alpha 8] 39.2%[lower-alpha 9] — 20.4%[lower-alpha 10] 7.7%[lower-alpha 11] 5.0%[lower-alpha 12] — 18.8%
Paraná Pesquisas 23–26 Feb 1,012 7.9% 26.3% 24.3% 4.8% 3.9% 13.4%[lower-alpha 13] 19.4% 2.0%
8.6% 32.0% — — 5.1% 33.6%[lower-alpha 14] 20.7% 12.1%
11.1% 32.9% — 7.5% 5.2% 17.4%[lower-alpha 15] 25.9% 21.8%
15.0% 36.7% — 10.1% — 8.4%[lower-alpha 16] 29.8% 11.7%

Notes

  1. 1 2 Democrats (DEM) and the Social Liberal Party (PSL) merged into the Brazil Union in February 2022.[15]
  2. 1 2 Brazilian Labour Party (PTB) and Patriota merged in the Democratic Renewal Party (PRD) in November 2023.[14]
  3. ↑ Vinicius Poit (NOVO) with 2.8%
  4. ↑ Vinicius Poit (NOVO) with 2%
  5. ↑ Eduardo Bolsonaro (PL) with 18%
  6. ↑ Rodrigo Garcia (PSDB) with 3% and Fernando Holiday (PL) with 1%.
  7. ↑ Vinicius Poit (NOVO) with 5.4%
  8. ↑ If endorsed by Planning Minister Simone Tebet (MDB)
  9. ↑ If endorsed by President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT)
  10. ↑ If endorsed by former president Jair Bolsonaro (PL)
  11. ↑ If endorsed by Vice President Geraldo Alckmin (PSB)
  12. ↑ Vinicius Poit (NOVO) with 5%, if endorsed by Minas Gerais Governor Romeu Zema (NOVO)
  13. ↑ Rodrigo Garcia (PSDB) with 8.5%, Kim Kataguiri (UNIÃO) with 3.3% and Vinicius Poit (NOVO) with 1.6%
  14. ↑ Eduardo Bolsonaro (PL) with 19.1%, Rodrigo Garcia (PSDB) with 8.9%, Kim Kataguiri (UNIÃO) with 3.5% and Vinicius Poit (NOVO) with 2.1%
  15. ↑ Rodrigo Garcia (PSDB) with 10.3%, Kim Kataguiri (UNIÃO) with 4.5% and Vinicius Poit (NOVO) with 2.6%
  16. ↑ Kim Kataguiri (UNIÃO) with 5.3% and Vinicius Poit (NOVO) with 3.1%

References

  1. 1 2 Ribeiro, Bruno (3 April 2023). "De olho na reeleição, Nunes "refina" loteamento para agradar caciques". Metrópoles (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 12 April 2023.
  2. ↑ "Quem são os pré-candidatos à prefeitura de São Paulo na eleição de 2024?". Estadão (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 2023-07-15.
  3. ↑ Gomes, Bianca (15 March 2023). "Candidatura de Tabata à prefeitura de SP vira obstáculo à federação do PSB com PDT e Solidariedade". O Globo (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 12 April 2023.
  4. ↑ Venceslau, Pedro (12 April 2023). "Tabata Amaral: 'Falta uma esquerda com visão econômica de centro'". Estadão (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 12 April 2023.
  5. ↑ Carneiro, Mariana; Côrtes, Gustavo (10 April 2023). "Apesar de divergências em São Paulo, PDT e PSB mantém costura por federação para 2024". Estadão (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 12 April 2023.
  6. ↑ "Boulos pinta como 'favorito' à prefeitura de SP em 2024, diz pesquisa". Veja (in Brazilian Portuguese). 28 February 2023. Retrieved 12 April 2023.
  7. ↑ "O que Boulos pensa sobre disputar a prefeitura de São Paulo em 2024". Carta Capital (in Brazilian Portuguese). 10 March 2023. Retrieved 12 April 2023.
  8. ↑ Ghirotto, Edoardo (3 March 2023). "Salles manda recado a prefeito de SP e diz que será candidato em 2024". Metrópoles (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 12 April 2023.
  9. ↑ "Ricardo Salles desiste de concorrer à prefeitura de SP: Tomei uma rasteira". UOL Notícias (in Brazilian Portuguese). 5 June 2023. Retrieved 5 June 2023.
  10. ↑ "Datena fecha com PDT de Ciro para concorrer à Prefeitura de São Paulo em 2024". Isto É Dinheiro (in Brazilian Portuguese). 14 March 2023. Retrieved 12 April 2023.
  11. 1 2 CASTRO, DANIEL (2023-06-28). "Para não pagar mico, Datena manda cancelar festa de candidatura a prefeito". Notícias da TV (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 2023-07-30.
  12. ↑ "São Paulo/SP - Eleição 2020 definida para prefeito e vereadores". UOL (in Brazilian Portuguese). 15 November 2020. Retrieved 12 April 2023.
  13. ↑ "Vereadores". Câmara Municipal de São Paulo (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 6 June 2023.
  14. ↑ Pontes, Felipe (9 November 2023). "TSE aprova criação do PRD, resultado de fusão entre PTB e Patriota". Agência Brasil (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 16 November 2023.
  15. ↑ Vivas, Fernanda (8 February 2022). "TSE aprova registro e estatuto do União Brasil, partido resultante da fusão entre DEM e PSL". G1 (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 5 June 2023.
  16. ↑ "Datafolha: Boulos lidera com 32% das intenções de voto para Prefeitura de SP; Nunes aparece em segundo, com 24%". G1 (in Brazilian Portuguese). 31 August 2023. Retrieved 25 September 2023.
  17. ↑ "PT oficializa apoio a Boulos para eleição à prefeitura de SP". Carta Capital (in Brazilian Portuguese). 5 August 2023. Retrieved 5 August 2023.
  18. ↑ "Ricardo Salles desiste de concorrer à prefeitura de SP: Tomei uma rasteira". UOL Notícias (in Brazilian Portuguese). 5 June 2023. Retrieved 18 July 2023.
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